Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.629269 15.610670 17.794348 20.381956 23.367878 26.709240 30.737475
2025-11-02 10.737828 13.257406 16.258881 20.107206 24.924115 30.772080 38.437818
2025-11-09 9.044526 11.775934 15.214538 19.878943 26.069206 34.041430 45.150285
2025-11-16 7.825195 10.638308 14.342949 19.605953 26.935722 36.848339 51.382475
2025-11-23 6.849767 9.664048 13.516609 19.212723 27.484575 39.157807 57.053591
2025-11-30 6.438628 9.398360 13.596879 20.037528 29.760103 44.034581 66.848562
2025-12-07 5.953104 8.959200 13.362252 20.345166 31.262876 47.879243 75.464820
2025-12-14 5.454696 8.440781 12.944198 20.307190 32.196248 50.900764 83.063776
2025-12-21 4.992503 7.926842 12.473524 20.120490 32.844246 53.491163 90.183061
2025-12-28 4.785563 7.791575 12.574158 20.844190 35.016942 58.728105 102.262055
2026-01-04 4.555287 7.593344 12.548399 21.343373 36.841505 63.529923 114.070606
2026-01-11 4.387710 7.481511 12.649559 22.056846 39.087063 69.247575 128.111077
2026-01-18 4.005547 6.974415 12.044771 21.492852 39.031540 70.915548 134.922632
2026-01-25 3.707267 6.588140 11.615631 21.200829 39.437163 73.452353 143.662241
2026-02-01 3.447528 6.247576 11.236342 20.959528 39.902279 76.123280 152.926873
2026-02-08 3.206662 5.920657 10.852881 20.670928 40.239053 78.560673 161.958176
2026-02-15 2.971759 5.585218 10.425116 20.255234 40.278304 80.398212 169.915070
2026-02-22 2.920258 5.593400 10.644544 21.127185 42.983638 87.867593 190.744751
2026-03-01 2.805244 5.468431 10.595833 21.452434 44.587058 93.201317 207.475258
2026-03-08 2.657583 5.266888 10.379759 21.412282 45.410296 96.948353 221.028912
2026-03-15 2.504797 5.043049 10.101105 21.214894 45.871584 99.944012 233.163940
2026-03-22 2.460597 5.037936 10.266760 21.980054 48.520964 108.044934 258.373852
2026-03-29 2.394734 4.982223 10.322230 22.507878 50.683128 115.247344 282.240460